tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13313594.post3299045505199118292..comments2023-11-03T01:24:37.142-07:00Comments on Militant Ginger: Arnold plays a joke...Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13313594.post-64536581538855677402009-10-28T13:04:58.870-07:002009-10-28T13:04:58.870-07:00So I was only seven billion out from your initial ...So I was only seven billion out from your initial estimate! #mathfail!<br /><br />Is it worth saying that it's unlikely to be a coincidence?Roland Hulmehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08979437320446956987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13313594.post-28908331246476650032009-10-28T12:25:13.403-07:002009-10-28T12:25:13.403-07:00So, now I actually want to figure it out how unlik...So, now I actually want to figure it out how unlikely this was. The obvious way is to treat each letter as if it occurs 1/26th of the time, which would give 1/8,031,810,176.<br /><br />If we control for the relative frequencies of letters in English, it becomes more unlikely. I'm getting a result of 1/ 185,399,389,457). That's because these letters are less likely than others. For example, k makes up only 1/130 letters in the average English document.<br /><br />Unfortunately, I don't have the real killer data, which is the frequency of letters at the start of words. That's what would be dispositive.<br /><br />Also, note that none of these calculations takes into account the chance of a letter having consecutive paragraphs with four and 3 lines.Tomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15627620365250257036noreply@blogger.com